Roccella vs Turris Neapolis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.9%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.8%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
39.9%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.9%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Roccella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
SIC
3 - 1
ROC
74%
17%
9%
|
32 | 45 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
ROC
2 - 2
RAA
42%
23%
35%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
SAN
2 - 1
ROC
44%
23%
33%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
ROC
1 - 2
PAL
42%
23%
35%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
REN
4 - 1
ROC
54%
25%
21%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Turris Neapolis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
TUR
1 - 2
CAV
26%
25%
49%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
USC
0 - 1
TUR
21%
21%
58%
|
37 | 23 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
TUR
1 - 1
NFR
38%
26%
36%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
DTO
0 - 3
TUR
19%
25%
56%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
TUR
1 - 1
GRA
54%
22%
25%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | +1 |