Roccella vs Siracusa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.4%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.1%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
59.4%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
13.3%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.5%
0-2
11.6%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.4%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.7%
0-4
3%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Roccella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
MAR
2 - 2
ROC
27%
23%
50%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
ROC
1 - 1
REN
54%
22%
24%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
VIG
0 - 1
ROC
38%
24%
38%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2016 |
ROC
2 - 1
CAV
23%
24%
53%
|
33 | 44 | 11 | +2 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
LEO
0 - 0
ROC
46%
23%
30%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Siracusa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
SIR
3 - 0
SAR
79%
15%
6%
|
55 | 35 | 20 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2016 |
RAA
1 - 1
SIR
17%
25%
58%
|
55 | 41 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
SIR
1 - 1
DTO
76%
16%
7%
|
55 | 37 | 18 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2016 |
GEL
1 - 2
SIR
10%
20%
70%
|
55 | 32 | 23 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
SIR
2 - 0
NOT
81%
14%
5%
|
55 | 34 | 21 | 0 |