Roccella vs Rende analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.3%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
23.5%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Roccella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
VIG
0 - 1
ROC
38%
24%
38%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2016 |
ROC
2 - 1
CAV
23%
24%
53%
|
33 | 44 | 11 | +2 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
LEO
0 - 0
ROC
46%
23%
30%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
ROC
3 - 2
SAR
41%
24%
35%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 2016 |
RAA
1 - 0
ROC
56%
24%
20%
|
33 | 41 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Rende
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2016 |
RAA
0 - 0
REN
56%
25%
19%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
REN
1 - 0
SAR
42%
25%
33%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
REN
1 - 1
DTO
42%
25%
33%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
GEL
0 - 0
REN
45%
24%
31%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
REN
1 - 0
NOT
39%
25%
36%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | +1 |