Roccella vs Palmese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.6%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.9%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
30%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Roccella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2018 |
ROC
1 - 0
CIT
56%
21%
23%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
USC
1 - 1
ROC
47%
23%
30%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
ACI
1 - 1
ROC
48%
25%
27%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
ROC
0 - 2
LOC
67%
17%
16%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
MAR
2 - 0
ROC
32%
26%
42%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | -2 |
Matches
Palmese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
PAL
0 - 0
POR
57%
21%
22%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
NOC
0 - 0
PAL
65%
20%
15%
|
32 | 39 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
GEL
1 - 1
PAL
61%
20%
20%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
PAL
1 - 0
FCI
30%
23%
47%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | +3 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
USC
0 - 0
PAL
48%
22%
29%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | 0 |