Roccella vs Palmese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.2%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.1%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.6%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
34.9%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
18%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.5%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Roccella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
REN
4 - 1
ROC
54%
25%
21%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
GLA
1 - 0
ROC
28%
23%
48%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
ROC
1 - 1
FCI
28%
25%
47%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2016 |
ASS
1 - 1
ROC
12%
18%
70%
|
36 | 16 | 20 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
ROC
3 - 1
CAV
17%
22%
61%
|
33 | 46 | 13 | +3 |
Matches
Palmese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
PAL
1 - 4
USC
76%
15%
9%
|
37 | 22 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
NFR
1 - 0
PAL
66%
19%
15%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2016 |
PAL
4 - 1
GRA
52%
22%
26%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | +2 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
POM
1 - 1
PAL
45%
23%
32%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
PAL
2 - 3
DTO
65%
20%
15%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | -1 |