Roccella vs ACR Messina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.8%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.6%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.2%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
43.1%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Roccella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
ROC
0 - 1
GEL
51%
24%
26%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
ASD
1 - 0
ROC
60%
19%
21%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
ROC
1 - 1
CCI
62%
19%
19%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
ACI
3 - 1
ROC
32%
26%
43%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | -2 |
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
ROC
2 - 3
POR
62%
19%
19%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
MES
1 - 2
ACI
78%
15%
7%
|
38 | 25 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
GEL
0 - 0
MES
27%
27%
47%
|
38 | 27 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
MES
1 - 1
GEL
52%
23%
25%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
CCI
1 - 0
MES
17%
21%
62%
|
40 | 21 | 19 | -2 |
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
MES
0 - 2
NOC
44%
25%
32%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | -1 |