Roccella vs Marsala analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.2%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.9%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
34.3%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Roccella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2019 |
TUR
5 - 0
ROC
72%
17%
11%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2018 |
BAR
2 - 2
ROC
80%
15%
5%
|
29 | 67 | 38 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 2018 |
ROC
4 - 1
CCI
44%
23%
34%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | +2 |
| 12 Dec. 2018 |
MES
0 - 0
ROC
68%
18%
14%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2018 |
ROC
1 - 0
ROT
70%
17%
13%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Marsala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2019 |
MAR
2 - 0
ROT
70%
18%
12%
|
33 | 21 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2018 |
MAR
0 - 0
NOC
36%
26%
38%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 2018 |
ASD
1 - 0
MAR
50%
23%
28%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 2018 |
MAR
2 - 0
POR
53%
23%
25%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2018 |
GEL
2 - 2
MAR
54%
22%
24%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | +1 |