Roccella vs Gelbison analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.9%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
25.5%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Roccella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
ASD
1 - 0
ROC
60%
19%
21%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
ROC
1 - 1
CCI
62%
19%
19%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
ACI
3 - 1
ROC
32%
26%
43%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | -2 |
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
ROC
2 - 3
POR
62%
19%
19%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
GEL
4 - 0
ROC
60%
20%
20%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | -2 |
Matches
Gelbison
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
GEL
0 - 0
MES
27%
27%
47%
|
28 | 39 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
ACP
1 - 0
GEL
37%
26%
37%
|
29 | 24 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
GEL
1 - 3
ASD
48%
23%
30%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | -2 |
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
GEL
1 - 0
CCI
67%
18%
15%
|
31 | 22 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
ACI
2 - 1
GEL
30%
27%
43%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | -1 |