Roccella vs Cittanova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.5%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.4%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.1%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.3%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
33.7%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Roccella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2018 |
MES
0 - 0
ROC
68%
18%
14%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2018 |
ROC
1 - 0
ROT
70%
17%
13%
|
25 | 19 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
SAN
3 - 1
ROC
48%
23%
29%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
ASD
1 - 0
ROC
59%
21%
21%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
ROC
1 - 0
FCI
43%
23%
35%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Cittanova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2018 |
CCI
3 - 1
NOC
27%
22%
51%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2018 |
PAL
1 - 3
CCI
71%
17%
12%
|
24 | 34 | 10 | +2 |
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
CCI
2 - 1
POR
37%
23%
40%
|
23 | 30 | 7 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
CIT
1 - 0
CCI
64%
18%
18%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
CCI
0 - 2
GEL
29%
21%
50%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | -2 |