Roccella vs Rotonda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.4%
Win probability
2.55
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.8%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.2%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.3%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.5%
13.1%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Roccella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
SAN
3 - 1
ROC
48%
23%
29%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
ASD
1 - 0
ROC
59%
21%
21%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
ROC
1 - 0
FCI
43%
23%
35%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 2018 |
POR
1 - 1
ROC
56%
21%
23%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
ROC
1 - 2
NOC
26%
24%
50%
|
28 | 40 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Rotonda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
ROT
1 - 2
FCI
30%
23%
47%
|
21 | 28 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
NOC
1 - 0
ROT
81%
13%
6%
|
21 | 38 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
ROT
1 - 1
ASD
20%
20%
60%
|
21 | 34 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2018 |
PAL
0 - 0
ROT
77%
14%
9%
|
21 | 33 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
ROT
1 - 1
POR
25%
22%
53%
|
20 | 30 | 10 | +1 |