Rocafuerte vs Universidad Católica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.9%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.2%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
28.3%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rocafuerte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jul. 2011 |
UTC
1 - 1
ROC
32%
28%
40%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2011 |
ROC
4 - 1
UTC
66%
20%
14%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2011 |
UCE
3 - 0
ROC
55%
25%
21%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | -1 |
| 25 Jun. 2011 |
ROC
2 - 1
DPT
66%
20%
14%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | +1 |
| 18 Jun. 2011 |
AUD
1 - 1
ROC
31%
29%
41%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Universidad Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jul. 2011 |
UCE
0 - 0
VAL
62%
22%
15%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2011 |
VAL
1 - 1
UCE
36%
27%
37%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2011 |
UCE
3 - 0
ROC
55%
25%
21%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | +1 |
| 26 Jun. 2011 |
UCE
3 - 0
AUD
66%
20%
14%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | +1 |
| 18 Jun. 2011 |
GRE
2 - 2
UCE
30%
26%
44%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | -1 |