Rocafuerte vs Imbabura analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
28.6%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rocafuerte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jun. 2012 |
DPT
1 - 1
ROC
44%
29%
28%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2012 |
ROC
2 - 0
GRE
51%
24%
25%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 May. 2012 |
MUS
2 - 0
ROC
51%
27%
22%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 May. 2012 |
ROC
2 - 0
UTC
50%
25%
26%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2012 |
ESP
1 - 1
ROC
54%
25%
21%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Imbabura
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jun. 2012 |
IMB
1 - 3
UCE
40%
26%
33%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2012 |
IMB
3 - 2
VAL
56%
24%
20%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2012 |
DPT
1 - 0
IMB
34%
28%
38%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 May. 2012 |
IMB
2 - 2
GRE
61%
21%
17%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2012 |
RIV
1 - 0
IMB
44%
27%
29%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |