Copa del Rey 1/64
Global 5-5
RM Castilla vs CE Sabadell analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.9%
Win probability
2.53
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
4%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.2%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.1%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
17.5%
16.5%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
RM Castilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 1977 |
RMC
1 - 0
CDO
66%
20%
14%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1977 |
TUD
1 - 5
RMC
50%
27%
24%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 1977 |
RMC
2 - 1
CUL
63%
22%
16%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 1977 |
ENS
3 - 1
RMC
59%
24%
16%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 1977 |
RMC
5 - 2
PON
55%
25%
21%
|
50 | 60 | 10 | +2 |
Matches
CE Sabadell
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 1977 |
OVI
0 - 3
SAB
68%
20%
11%
|
55 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1977 |
SAB
4 - 3
DEP
55%
25%
20%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 1977 |
GRA
1 - 1
SAB
67%
21%
12%
|
53 | 65 | 12 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 1977 |
SAB
0 - 0
CDT
48%
27%
25%
|
53 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1977 |
MAL
0 - 1
SAB
67%
21%
12%
|
52 | 66 | 14 | +1 |