RM Castilla vs Real Murcia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.3%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.6%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.2%
24.5%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
RM Castilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 2006 |
CDT
3 - 2
RMC
51%
25%
24%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2006 |
RMC
3 - 2
VEC
72%
18%
10%
|
69 | 56 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2006 |
RMC
2 - 1
SLA
47%
26%
27%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 2006 |
MAL
3 - 3
RMC
65%
21%
14%
|
68 | 81 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2006 |
RMC
0 - 2
ELC
51%
25%
25%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 2006 |
MUR
3 - 2
MAL
34%
27%
39%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2006 |
ELC
1 - 1
MUR
48%
28%
25%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2006 |
MUR
1 - 1
PON
70%
20%
10%
|
74 | 59 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2006 |
LOR
1 - 1
MUR
51%
27%
22%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2006 |
MUR
1 - 4
VAD
36%
27%
38%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | -1 |