RM Castilla vs Ponferradina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.3%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
18.1%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
RM Castilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
GUA
3 - 4
RMC
28%
26%
47%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2012 |
RMC
2 - 3
SAB
71%
18%
11%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
RMC
3 - 2
XER
54%
23%
24%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
ALM
1 - 0
RMC
66%
20%
14%
|
67 | 80 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
RMC
3 - 2
FCB
47%
24%
29%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Ponferradina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
PON
2 - 2
ALM
21%
24%
55%
|
67 | 80 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
FCB
2 - 1
PON
65%
21%
15%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2012 |
VIL
0 - 2
PON
74%
17%
9%
|
66 | 86 | 20 | +2 |
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
PON
0 - 1
VIL
20%
24%
56%
|
66 | 86 | 20 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
GIR
1 - 0
PON
56%
25%
20%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |