RM Castilla vs Novelda CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.4%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.5%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.6%
14%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
+194%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
RM Castilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2002 |
BEN
1 - 2
RMC
25%
27%
48%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2002 |
RMC
4 - 0
CAS
67%
19%
13%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 2002 |
ALC
1 - 1
RMC
25%
26%
49%
|
55 | 42 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2002 |
HER
0 - 0
RMC
46%
25%
29%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2002 |
RMC
2 - 3
GET
57%
22%
21%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Novelda CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2002 |
NOV
4 - 0
OND
60%
22%
18%
|
51 | 40 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2002 |
TAL
1 - 2
NOV
38%
29%
33%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2002 |
PPJ
4 - 0
NOV
38%
28%
34%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2002 |
NOV
0 - 1
UBC
54%
25%
22%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2002 |
NOV
1 - 2
ULP
49%
27%
25%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | -1 |