RM Castilla vs UD Melilla analysis

RM Castilla UD Melilla
63 ELO 49
3.5% Tilt 11.8%
1895º General ELO ranking 4033º
60º Country ELO ranking 116º
ELO win probability
76.3%
RM Castilla
17%
Draw
6.7%
UD Melilla

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.3%
Win probability
RM Castilla
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.7%
3-0
12%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.3%
2-0
17.1%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.3%
1-0
16.1%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.3%
17%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
17%
6.7%
Win probability
UD Melilla
0.46
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
RM Castilla
-16%
+27%
UD Melilla

Points and table prediction

RM Castilla
Their league position
UD Melilla
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
51
14º
10º
34
10º
20º
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
18º
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
CD Castellón
82
82
100%
Córdoba CF
77
77
100%
Málaga
70
70
100%
UD Ibiza
68
68
100%
AD Ceuta FC
62
62
100%
Recreativo
61
61
100%
Real Murcia
58
58
100%
Antequera CF
56
56
100%
Atlético B
53
53
100%
RM Castilla
10º
51
51
10º
0%
Alcoyano
11º
51
51
11º
0%
AD Mérida
12º
47
47
12º
100%
Algeciras CF
13º
46
46
13º
100%
At. Sanluqueño
14º
45
45
14º
0%
CF Intercity
15º
45
45
15º
0%
San Fernando CD
16º
42
42
16º
100%
Linares Deportivo
17º
39
39
17º
100%
UD Melilla
18º
34
34
18º
100%
Atlético Baleares
19º
29
29
19º
100%
Recreativo Granada
20º
27
27
20º
100%
Expected probabilities
RM Castilla
UD Melilla
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 0%
Relegation
0% 100%

ELO progression

RM Castilla
UD Melilla
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

RM Castilla
RM Castilla
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
20 Aug. 2023
RMC
RM Castilla
3 - 0
Rayo Majadahonda
MAJ
66%
20%
14%
63 53 10 0
16 Aug. 2023
RMC
RM Castilla
0 - 0
Unionistas CF
UNI
54%
23%
23%
63 59 4 0
12 Aug. 2023
RMC
RM Castilla
1 - 0
Fuenlabrada
FUE
66%
20%
14%
62 54 8 +1
05 Aug. 2023
RCF
Racing Ferrol
2 - 1
RM Castilla
RMC
45%
24%
32%
63 66 3 -1
02 Aug. 2023
LUG
CD Lugo
1 - 0
RM Castilla
RMC
25%
23%
52%
63 58 5 0

Matches

UD Melilla
UD Melilla
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
18 Aug. 2023
MEL
UD Melilla
1 - 0
AD Ceuta FC
CEU
21%
24%
55%
48 57 9 0
16 Aug. 2023
MEL
UD Melilla
0 - 0
Málaga
MAL
16%
23%
61%
48 65 17 0
16 Aug. 2023
ANT
Antequera CF
0 - 0
UD Melilla
MEL
54%
25%
22%
48 51 3 0
12 Aug. 2023
MEL
UD Melilla
1 - 0
Atlético Baleares
ATB
23%
25%
52%
48 56 8 0
10 Aug. 2023
MEL
UD Melilla
1 - 0
Orihuela CF
ORI
66%
21%
14%
48 37 11 0
X