RM Castilla vs CD Lugo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.8%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.3%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
21.9%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
RM Castilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
GUA
1 - 1
RMC
41%
27%
33%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
RMC
2 - 1
LEG
65%
20%
15%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
ALC
0 - 2
RMC
22%
26%
51%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
RMC
4 - 3
ATB
71%
18%
12%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2011 |
UBC
2 - 2
RMC
31%
26%
43%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
LUG
2 - 1
RVB
69%
20%
11%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
CDB
3 - 1
LUG
26%
26%
48%
|
57 | 45 | 12 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
LUG
3 - 1
MON
68%
20%
13%
|
57 | 44 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
VEC
0 - 1
LUG
24%
26%
50%
|
57 | 46 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2011 |
LUG
2 - 0
GET
65%
21%
14%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | +1 |