Copa del Rey 1/128
Global 4-1
RM Castilla vs Leganés analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
87.1%
Win probability
3.44
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.8%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1%
7-0
1.8%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.4%
6-0
3.6%
7-1
1.3%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
5.1%
5-0
6.3%
6-1
2.6%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
<0%
+5
9.4%
4-0
9.2%
5-1
4.5%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14.7%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
6.5%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.4%
8.5%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
3.9%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
8.5%
4.2%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
1.1%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.2%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
RM Castilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 1982 |
RMC
2 - 1
ATB
61%
22%
16%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1982 |
MUR
4 - 1
RMC
67%
20%
13%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 1982 |
RMC
0 - 0
ELC
55%
24%
21%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 May. 1982 |
RMC
4 - 1
CEL
46%
26%
28%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | +2 |
| 16 May. 1982 |
DEP
0 - 1
RMC
62%
22%
16%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Leganés
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 1982 |
LEG
2 - 2
CAR
75%
16%
8%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1982 |
TAR
0 - 0
LEG
37%
28%
35%
|
32 | 17 | 15 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 1982 |
LEG
1 - 0
PEG
58%
23%
19%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 May. 1982 |
ALC
2 - 1
LEG
57%
23%
20%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | -2 |
| 16 May. 1982 |
LEG
2 - 0
ADP
62%
22%
16%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | +1 |