Copa del Rey 1/64
Global 0-1
RM Castilla vs Galáctico Pegaso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
87.2%
Win probability
3.07
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.4%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.7%
6-0
3.2%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4%
5-0
6.3%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.2%
4-0
10.3%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
14%
3-0
13.4%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.6%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.5%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.2%
9.2%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
4.4%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
9.2%
3.6%
Win probability
0.51
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
2.9%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
RM Castilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 1984 |
RMC
0 - 0
UDL
58%
23%
19%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 1984 |
RMC
0 - 0
CAD
56%
23%
21%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1984 |
LOR
2 - 2
RMC
38%
29%
33%
|
71 | 55 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 1984 |
RMC
2 - 0
LOG
71%
17%
12%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1984 |
PEG
0 - 0
RMC
21%
27%
52%
|
71 | 35 | 36 | 0 |
Matches
Galáctico Pegaso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 1984 |
PEG
3 - 2
DAI
75%
16%
9%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1984 |
GIM
2 - 1
PEG
37%
27%
36%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 1984 |
PEG
0 - 1
UBC
75%
17%
8%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 1984 |
PEG
0 - 0
RMC
21%
27%
52%
|
35 | 71 | 36 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 1984 |
SFN
1 - 0
PEG
35%
27%
38%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | -1 |