RM Castilla vs Deportivo Fabril analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.3%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.2%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.5%
11.2%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
RM Castilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
PON
0 - 2
RMC
36%
27%
37%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2011 |
RMC
3 - 1
EXT
81%
13%
6%
|
53 | 40 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2011 |
CEL
0 - 2
RMC
43%
26%
31%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Jan. 2011 |
RMC
5 - 0
ULP
46%
26%
29%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | +2 |
| 09 Jan. 2011 |
COX
1 - 4
RMC
31%
26%
43%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Deportivo Fabril
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
DEP
1 - 0
RVB
42%
27%
32%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2011 |
CDB
0 - 1
DEP
50%
24%
26%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2011 |
DEP
2 - 1
MON
47%
25%
28%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2011 |
VEC
1 - 1
DEP
49%
25%
26%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2011 |
DEP
1 - 2
LUG
23%
25%
52%
|
43 | 58 | 15 | 0 |