Copa del Rey 1/32
Global 3-2
RM Castilla vs Constància analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
87.8%
Win probability
3.09
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.5%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.8%
6-0
3.4%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.2%
5-0
6.6%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.4%
4-0
10.7%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
14.2%
3-0
13.8%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.8%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.5%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17%
8.9%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
4.2%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
8.9%
3.3%
Win probability
0.48
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
2.7%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
RM Castilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 1981 |
RMC
3 - 2
ALA
64%
22%
15%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 1981 |
BAR
2 - 1
RMC
46%
28%
26%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 1981 |
GRA
2 - 1
RMC
44%
29%
27%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | -1 |
| 06 Jan. 1981 |
CON
2 - 0
RMC
23%
27%
49%
|
68 | 32 | 36 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 1981 |
RMC
1 - 0
PAL
65%
20%
15%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Constància
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 1981 |
SLL
0 - 3
CON
42%
29%
29%
|
33 | 19 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 1981 |
CON
1 - 3
PBL
50%
29%
21%
|
34 | 41 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 1981 |
MUR
1 - 1
CON
51%
26%
23%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | -1 |
| 06 Jan. 1981 |
CON
2 - 0
RMC
23%
27%
49%
|
32 | 68 | 36 | +3 |
| 04 Jan. 1981 |
CON
3 - 1
CFP
75%
17%
9%
|
32 | 23 | 9 | 0 |