Copa del Rey 1/32
Global 4-2
RM Castilla vs Real Betis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.5%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.4%
2-0
6%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.1%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.4%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
35.3%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
RM Castilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 1983 |
FCB
0 - 1
RMC
54%
25%
22%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1983 |
RMC
2 - 1
GRA
69%
20%
11%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 1983 |
MAN
0 - 2
RMC
23%
28%
49%
|
68 | 35 | 33 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1983 |
LIN
0 - 0
RMC
42%
29%
29%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1983 |
RMC
4 - 1
MAN
87%
9%
3%
|
68 | 36 | 32 | 0 |
Matches
Real Betis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 1983 |
BET
0 - 0
FCB
30%
26%
44%
|
81 | 89 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1983 |
SLA
1 - 3
BET
43%
28%
29%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 1983 |
BET
4 - 0
BAL
92%
6%
2%
|
80 | 35 | 45 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1983 |
BET
3 - 1
ZAR
50%
24%
26%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1983 |
BAL
1 - 3
BET
13%
23%
64%
|
80 | 35 | 45 | 0 |