Copa del Rey 1/128
Global 4-6
RM Castilla vs AD Almería analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.6%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.8%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.8%
14.6%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
RM Castilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 1975 |
PEG
1 - 1
RMC
61%
25%
14%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1975 |
RMC
2 - 0
TRJ
72%
18%
10%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1975 |
ALF
0 - 1
RMC
27%
29%
45%
|
40 | 26 | 14 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 1975 |
RMC
0 - 1
ATB
70%
20%
10%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 1975 |
LOG
4 - 3
RMC
70%
21%
8%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
AD Almería
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 1975 |
LIN
4 - 2
ALM
66%
23%
10%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1975 |
ALM
2 - 0
IMP
94%
5%
1%
|
41 | 21 | 20 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1975 |
ORI
2 - 0
ALM
53%
28%
19%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 1975 |
ALM
1 - 0
ALG
72%
20%
8%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1975 |
AMA
0 - 0
ALM
69%
22%
10%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | 0 |