Segunda B Playoffs Quarter-finals
Global 2-4
RM Castilla vs Alcoyano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.1%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
7%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.1%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.3%
16.6%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
RM Castilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2011 |
GET
0 - 0
RMC
22%
25%
53%
|
58 | 45 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
RMC
3 - 1
RVB
77%
15%
8%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
CDB
1 - 3
RMC
27%
26%
47%
|
57 | 46 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2011 |
RMC
6 - 0
MON
75%
16%
10%
|
56 | 45 | 11 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
VEC
0 - 0
RMC
22%
25%
52%
|
56 | 44 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Alcoyano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2011 |
ATB
1 - 1
ALC
36%
28%
37%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
ALC
3 - 1
GRA
62%
23%
15%
|
55 | 43 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
SAB
0 - 1
ALC
47%
27%
26%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2011 |
ALC
2 - 3
HOS
50%
28%
22%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
MLL
1 - 2
ALC
22%
26%
52%
|
55 | 42 | 13 | 0 |