RM Castilla vs RSD Alcalá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.1%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.7%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.2%
11.7%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+43%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
RM Castilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2010 |
ATB
0 - 0
RMC
35%
26%
39%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2010 |
RMC
1 - 0
UBC
65%
20%
16%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2010 |
CPC
0 - 1
RMC
30%
26%
44%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2010 |
RMC
3 - 0
CER
72%
17%
12%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2010 |
DEP
3 - 2
RMC
21%
24%
56%
|
53 | 41 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
RSD Alcalá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2010 |
ALC
1 - 0
RVB
37%
28%
34%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2010 |
CDB
2 - 1
ALC
52%
24%
24%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2010 |
ALC
1 - 0
MON
34%
27%
40%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2010 |
VEC
2 - 1
ALC
51%
25%
25%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2010 |
ALC
0 - 1
LUG
27%
27%
46%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | -1 |