Mierlo-Hout vs Flevo Boys analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
6.6%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
0.7%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.4%
1-0
1.8%
2-1
2.1%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
4.8%
11.7%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
11.7%
81.6%
Win probability
2.99
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
8%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.7%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
8%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
21.1%
0-3
10.3%
1-4
6%
2-5
1.4%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
17.9%
0-4
7.7%
1-5
3.6%
2-6
0.7%
3-7
0.1%
-4
12.1%
0-5
4.6%
1-6
1.8%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
6.7%
0-6
2.3%
1-7
0.8%
2-8
0.1%
-6
3.2%
0-7
1%
1-8
0.3%
2-9
0%
-7
1.3%
0-8
0.4%
1-9
0.1%
2-10
0%
-8
0.5%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.2%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Flevo Boys
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2019 |
EXC
3 - 0
FLE
72%
17%
12%
|
33 | 42 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2019 |
FLE
3 - 0
DET
59%
20%
21%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2019 |
STA
1 - 1
FLE
75%
16%
10%
|
32 | 44 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2019 |
FLE
1 - 0
DUN
40%
22%
38%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | +2 |
| 20 Apr. 2019 |
ACV
2 - 1
FLE
67%
17%
16%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | -1 |