RKC Waalwijk vs Sparta Rotterdam analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.3%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.4%
1-0
7%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.2%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
51.4%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.8%
0-2
9%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
15.7%
0-3
5%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.7%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
0
17º
18º
18º
6
8º
11º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
15 | 70 |
1º
|
39% | |
|
2º
|
13 | 67 |
2º
|
22% | |
|
7º
|
6 | 66 |
3º
|
17.5% | |
|
8º
|
6 | 61 |
4º
|
11% | |
|
6º
|
8 | 60 |
5º
|
13% | |
|
3º
|
10 | 59 |
6º
|
13.5% | |
|
9º
|
6 | 52 |
7º
|
13.5% | |
|
5º
|
8 | 48 |
8º
|
15.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
6 | 46 |
9º
|
15% | |
|
4º
|
9 | 45 |
10º
|
13% | |
|
14º
|
4 | 41 |
11º
|
13% | |
|
15º
|
4 | 41 |
12º
|
12% | |
|
12º
|
6 | 40 |
13º
|
11% | |
|
16º
|
3 | 34 |
14º
|
12% | |
|
11º
|
6 | 34 |
15º
|
15.5% | |
|
13º
|
6 | 31 |
16º
|
16% | |
|
17º
|
2 | 27 |
17º
|
25.5% | |
|
|
18º
|
0 | 25 |
18º
|
40.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Champions League
|
0% | 0% |
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 1% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0% | 2.5% |
|
Next round
|
0% | 37% |
|
Mid-table
|
23% | 55.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
12% | 3% |
|
Relegation
|
65% | 1% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
RKC Waalwijk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
WIL
3 - 0
RKC
60%
22%
18%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
RKC
0 - 3
AZA
19%
23%
58%
|
73 | 88 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
GAE
2 - 0
RKC
54%
24%
22%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
RKC
1 - 2
GRO
30%
25%
45%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
PSV
5 - 1
RKC
75%
16%
10%
|
74 | 88 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Sparta Rotterdam
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
SPA
1 - 2
GAE
48%
25%
27%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
WIL
1 - 2
SPA
42%
24%
34%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
SPA
1 - 1
FEY
22%
22%
56%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2024 |
UTR
1 - 3
SPA
52%
23%
25%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
TWE
1 - 1
SPA
60%
22%
18%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | 0 |