RKC Waalwijk vs Twente analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.3%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.2%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.6%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
61.2%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.8%
0-3
7%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.7%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.8%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
17
17º
18º
17º
36
3º
7º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
51 | 75 |
1º
|
53.5% | |
|
1º
|
51 | 74 |
2º
|
45.5% | |
|
5º
|
39 | 63 |
3º
|
30% | |
|
3º
|
42 | 63 |
4º
|
22% | |
|
4º
|
40 | 61 |
5º
|
24% | |
|
|
6º
|
36 | 60 |
6º
|
36.5% | |
|
7º
|
32 | 50 |
7º
|
56% | |
|
11º
|
24 | 44 |
8º
|
17.5% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 41 |
9º
|
17% | |
|
8º
|
26 | 40 |
10º
|
15% | |
|
9º
|
26 | 40 |
11º
|
13% | |
|
13º
|
24 | 39 |
12º
|
11% | |
|
14º
|
24 | 39 |
13º
|
14% | |
|
15º
|
24 | 38 |
14º
|
18% | |
|
10º
|
26 | 38 |
15º
|
12.5% | |
|
16º
|
20 | 35 |
16º
|
19% | |
|
|
17º
|
17 | 29 |
17º
|
58% | |
|
18º
|
13 | 22 |
18º
|
85.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 1% |
|
Champions League
|
0% | 1.5% |
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 7.5% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0% | 19.5% |
|
Next round
|
0% | 70.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
14.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
15.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
70% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
RKC Waalwijk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
UTR
3 - 2
RKC
69%
18%
12%
|
73 | 87 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
RKC
0 - 2
AJA
13%
18%
69%
|
73 | 89 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
RKC
1 - 2
SPA
24%
24%
52%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
WIL
3 - 0
RKC
60%
22%
18%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
RKC
0 - 3
AZA
19%
23%
58%
|
74 | 89 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Twente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
FEY
2 - 1
TWE
44%
24%
31%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2024 |
TWE
1 - 1
FEN
53%
23%
24%
|
89 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
TWE
1 - 0
NAC
68%
19%
13%
|
89 | 74 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2024 |
MUD
1 - 1
TWE
70%
18%
12%
|
89 | 95 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
ALM
0 - 5
TWE
17%
22%
61%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | +1 |