RKC Waalwijk vs AZ Alkmaar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.2%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.8%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.7%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
58.2%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.9%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
9.7%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
0
17º
18º
18º
13
2º
5º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
15 | 72 |
1º
|
41% | |
|
|
2º
|
13 | 67 |
2º
|
23.5% | |
|
15º
|
3 | 64 |
3º
|
12% | |
|
7º
|
6 | 63 |
4º
|
18.5% | |
|
6º
|
8 | 60 |
5º
|
14% | |
|
3º
|
10 | 59 |
6º
|
11.5% | |
|
9º
|
6 | 52 |
7º
|
17% | |
|
5º
|
8 | 47 |
8º
|
11% | |
|
10º
|
6 | 46 |
9º
|
14.5% | |
|
4º
|
9 | 46 |
10º
|
14% | |
|
11º
|
6 | 42 |
11º
|
10% | |
|
13º
|
4 | 41 |
12º
|
14% | |
|
14º
|
4 | 38 |
13º
|
8.5% | |
|
8º
|
6 | 34 |
14º
|
16.5% | |
|
16º
|
3 | 33 |
15º
|
12% | |
|
12º
|
6 | 31 |
16º
|
19.5% | |
|
17º
|
2 | 27 |
17º
|
24.5% | |
|
|
18º
|
0 | 27 |
18º
|
38.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 18% |
|
Champions League
|
0% | 23.5% |
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 19% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0% | 16% |
|
Next round
|
1% | 22.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
27% | 1% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
14% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
58% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
RKC Waalwijk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
GAE
2 - 0
RKC
54%
24%
22%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
RKC
1 - 2
GRO
30%
25%
45%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
PSV
5 - 1
RKC
75%
16%
10%
|
74 | 88 | 14 | -1 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
ALM
1 - 0
RKC
41%
25%
34%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
EUP
1 - 2
RKC
30%
23%
47%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
AZ Alkmaar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
GRO
0 - 0
AZA
24%
24%
52%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
AZA
1 - 0
NEC
60%
21%
19%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
ALM
0 - 1
AZA
18%
23%
60%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
STO
0 - 1
AZA
20%
23%
58%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2024 |
AZA
1 - 1
LHA
74%
17%
10%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |