RKAV Volendam vs Jong Sparta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.3%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
22.5%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.5%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
+16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
4
11º
18º
11º
9
9º
14º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
3º
|
13 | 72 |
1º
|
57.5% | |
|
8º
|
10 | 61 |
2º
|
20.5% | |
|
4º
|
13 | 59 |
3º
|
13% | |
|
2º
|
14 | 57 |
4º
|
7% | |
|
6º
|
11 | 57 |
5º
|
14.5% | |
|
7º
|
11 | 57 |
6º
|
9% | |
|
10º
|
8 | 51 |
7º
|
7.5% | |
|
1º
|
16 | 50 |
8º
|
9% | |
|
5º
|
12 | 49 |
9º
|
9% | |
|
|
9º
|
9 | 48 |
10º
|
10.5% | |
|
|
15º
|
4 | 46 |
11º
|
8.5% | |
|
17º
|
1 | 44 |
12º
|
12% | |
|
11º
|
6 | 42 |
13º
|
7.5% | |
|
13º
|
5 | 39 |
14º
|
14% | |
|
12º
|
5 | 33 |
15º
|
14.5% | |
|
16º
|
3 | 30 |
16º
|
19% | |
|
18º
|
0 | 30 |
17º
|
18.5% | |
|
14º
|
4 | 21 |
18º
|
57% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 1% |
|
Mid-table
|
92% | 92.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
6.5% | 6% |
|
Relegation
|
1.5% | 0.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
RKAV Volendam
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
SPA
4 - 0
VOL
60%
21%
20%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
VOL
0 - 3
VOL
32%
22%
47%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
HOO
1 - 3
VOL
17%
20%
64%
|
57 | 42 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
VOL
6 - 0
KAM
74%
16%
11%
|
56 | 41 | 15 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
USV
4 - 0
VOL
45%
24%
31%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Jong Sparta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
SPA
1 - 2
GVV
30%
25%
46%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
KOZ
3 - 3
SPA
19%
19%
62%
|
54 | 43 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2024 |
BAR
3 - 3
SPA
53%
21%
26%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
ALK
5 - 0
SPA
66%
18%
15%
|
54 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
SPA
3 - 0
SPA
66%
18%
16%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | 0 |