Rizhao Yuqi vs Jiangxi Dark Horse analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.2%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.6%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.6%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
37.3%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2190%
-8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
1º
4º
3º
29
3º
6º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
29 | 21 |
1º
|
71.5% | |
|
5º
|
25 | 16 |
2º
|
19% | |
|
|
4º
|
26 | 16 |
3º
|
14% | |
|
10º
|
11 | 15 |
4º
|
15% | |
|
|
1º
|
29 | 15 |
5º
|
13.5% | |
|
7º
|
23 | 14 |
6º
|
19.5% | |
|
3º
|
27 | 14 |
7º
|
12.5% | |
|
6º
|
25 | 11 |
8º
|
24.5% | |
|
8º
|
15 | 9 |
9º
|
24% | |
|
9º
|
13 | 8 |
10º
|
35.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Mid-table
|
97% | 95% |
|
Relegation
|
3% | 5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rizhao Yuqi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
RZY
1 - 0
GUA
37%
23%
39%
|
24 | 29 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
RZY
3 - 0
LAN
43%
23%
34%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | +2 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
SHU
3 - 0
RZY
53%
21%
27%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
RZY
1 - 0
WCH
22%
22%
57%
|
20 | 37 | 17 | +3 |
| 07 Jul. 2024 |
XIR
0 - 0
RZY
13%
17%
71%
|
21 | 8 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Jiangxi Dark Horse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
JIA
1 - 0
BIT
38%
23%
39%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
GUA
1 - 0
JIA
53%
22%
26%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | -1 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
JIA
0 - 1
GGZ
50%
22%
28%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2024 |
JIA
2 - 1
GUA
49%
23%
28%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2024 |
SHE
2 - 1
JIA
33%
23%
44%
|
31 | 22 | 9 | -1 |