Ríver vs Santos AP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.8%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.8%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.9%
2-0
14.5%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.4%
9.8%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ríver
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
GUA
1 - 1
RIV
33%
27%
40%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2015 |
RIV
2 - 1
IMP
58%
23%
19%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Aug. 2015 |
IMP
0 - 0
RIV
37%
26%
37%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Jul. 2015 |
RIV
0 - 0
GUA
57%
24%
19%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2015 |
SAN
0 - 1
RIV
25%
26%
50%
|
46 | 34 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Santos AP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2015 |
SAN
7 - 1
SEC
72%
17%
11%
|
31 | 17 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
SAN
3 - 2
IMP
25%
25%
50%
|
29 | 41 | 12 | +2 |
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
PAL
1 - 0
SAN
59%
22%
19%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2015 |
SPM
1 - 2
SAN
29%
24%
48%
|
29 | 19 | 10 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 2015 |
ECM
1 - 0
SAN
47%
23%
30%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | -1 |