Ríver vs Potiguar Mossoró analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.8%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
20.1%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ríver
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 2017 |
POT
0 - 2
RIV
41%
27%
32%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2017 |
MAR
3 - 0
RIV
24%
27%
50%
|
46 | 32 | 14 | -3 |
| 21 May. 2017 |
RIV
1 - 2
GUA
57%
23%
20%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | -2 |
| 11 May. 2017 |
RIV
1 - 3
ALT
36%
25%
39%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | -2 |
| 06 May. 2017 |
RIV
2 - 2
PIA
68%
20%
11%
|
50 | 34 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Potiguar Mossoró
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 2017 |
POT
0 - 2
RIV
41%
27%
32%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2017 |
GUA
2 - 2
POT
50%
24%
26%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2017 |
POT
0 - 0
MAR
67%
19%
14%
|
42 | 32 | 10 | -2 |
| 20 Apr. 2017 |
ABC
2 - 1
POT
73%
17%
10%
|
43 | 58 | 15 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2017 |
POT
0 - 4
ABC
21%
24%
55%
|
45 | 57 | 12 | -2 |