Ríver vs Picos SE analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.5%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
19.9%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+68%
-27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ríver
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2016 |
PAR
2 - 1
RIV
33%
28%
39%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2016 |
PIC
1 - 1
RIV
29%
28%
43%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2016 |
RIV
1 - 2
FOR
13%
21%
66%
|
46 | 66 | 20 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
RIV
2 - 0
PIC
55%
25%
21%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2016 |
FLA
0 - 2
RIV
40%
27%
33%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Picos SE
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2016 |
PIC
1 - 3
PIA
49%
25%
26%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2016 |
PIC
1 - 1
RIV
29%
28%
43%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
RIV
2 - 0
PIC
55%
25%
21%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2016 |
PIC
1 - 1
ALT
28%
25%
48%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
ALT
1 - 1
PIC
59%
22%
19%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | 0 |