Ríver vs Piauí analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.2%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
14.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.2%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.5%
14.3%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ríver
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2016 |
GOI
2 - 1
RIV
75%
19%
7%
|
47 | 75 | 28 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
CAI
0 - 3
RIV
17%
24%
59%
|
47 | 24 | 23 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2016 |
RIV
1 - 1
ALT
46%
25%
29%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
FLA
0 - 0
RIV
26%
26%
47%
|
47 | 35 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
COR
0 - 6
RIV
20%
24%
57%
|
46 | 30 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
Piauí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
PIA
4 - 1
COR
65%
19%
16%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2016 |
FLA
3 - 1
PIA
45%
25%
30%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | -2 |
| 14 Apr. 2016 |
ALT
1 - 0
PIA
61%
22%
17%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
PIA
2 - 1
PAR
35%
25%
40%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
PIA
2 - 0
CAI
67%
19%
14%
|
36 | 24 | 12 | 0 |