Ríver vs Piauí analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.8%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
15.8%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ríver
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2015 |
FOR
2 - 1
RIV
75%
17%
8%
|
49 | 66 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
PIA
0 - 1
RIV
35%
26%
39%
|
49 | 40 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2015 |
FLA
0 - 3
RIV
34%
26%
40%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2015 |
RIV
0 - 1
FOR
16%
24%
60%
|
48 | 66 | 18 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
RIV
2 - 1
PAR
55%
24%
22%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Piauí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
PIA
0 - 1
RIV
35%
26%
39%
|
40 | 49 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2015 |
4DE
0 - 1
PIA
45%
26%
28%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2015 |
PIA
1 - 5
SAL
31%
27%
42%
|
42 | 53 | 11 | -3 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
PIA
0 - 1
FLA
58%
23%
19%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2015 |
PIA
1 - 1
CAI
78%
14%
8%
|
43 | 21 | 22 | -1 |