Ríver vs Parnahyba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.7%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
18.5%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ríver
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2015 |
RIV
3 - 0
PIA
62%
22%
16%
|
49 | 39 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2015 |
FOR
2 - 1
RIV
75%
17%
8%
|
49 | 66 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
PIA
0 - 1
RIV
35%
26%
39%
|
49 | 40 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2015 |
FLA
0 - 3
RIV
34%
26%
40%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2015 |
RIV
0 - 1
FOR
16%
24%
60%
|
48 | 66 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Parnahyba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
CAI
0 - 2
PAR
23%
22%
56%
|
40 | 24 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
PAR
2 - 2
4DE
45%
26%
30%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2015 |
PAR
2 - 3
CAI
70%
18%
12%
|
41 | 23 | 18 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
RIV
2 - 1
PAR
55%
24%
22%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2015 |
FLA
0 - 3
PAR
48%
25%
28%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | +2 |