Ríver vs Maranhão analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.7%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
15.8%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ríver
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 2017 |
RIV
2 - 1
POT
57%
23%
20%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2017 |
POT
0 - 2
RIV
41%
27%
32%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 May. 2017 |
MAR
3 - 0
RIV
24%
27%
50%
|
45 | 30 | 15 | -3 |
| 21 May. 2017 |
RIV
1 - 2
GUA
57%
23%
20%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2017 |
RIV
1 - 3
ALT
36%
25%
39%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | -2 |
Matches
Maranhão
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 2017 |
GUA
2 - 1
MAR
59%
21%
20%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2017 |
MAR
1 - 0
GUA
36%
25%
39%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 May. 2017 |
MAR
3 - 0
RIV
24%
27%
50%
|
30 | 45 | 15 | +4 |
| 21 May. 2017 |
POT
0 - 0
MAR
67%
19%
14%
|
31 | 40 | 9 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2017 |
MAR
1 - 1
JOS
47%
25%
28%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | -1 |