Ríver vs Lagarto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.5%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.9%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
36%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ríver
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2021 |
PAR
1 - 1
RIV
36%
28%
36%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2021 |
RIV
0 - 3
ALT
28%
25%
47%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | -2 |
| 09 May. 2021 |
4DE
0 - 0
RIV
54%
25%
21%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2021 |
RIV
1 - 2
FPI
30%
23%
47%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2021 |
FLA
3 - 2
RIV
26%
26%
48%
|
42 | 27 | 15 | -2 |
Matches
Lagarto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2021 |
LAG
1 - 0
SER
27%
26%
47%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2021 |
SER
3 - 1
LAG
53%
25%
22%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 May. 2021 |
ITA
0 - 2
LAG
47%
26%
28%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | +2 |
| 06 May. 2021 |
LAG
2 - 0
ITA
34%
27%
39%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2021 |
ITA
1 - 1
LAG
53%
25%
22%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | +1 |