Ríver vs Guarany de Sobral analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.9%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
7%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.1%
1-0
10%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
33.1%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ríver
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
REM
3 - 2
RIV
65%
20%
15%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
MOT
2 - 2
RIV
51%
24%
25%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
RIV
2 - 1
INT
63%
21%
15%
|
43 | 35 | 8 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2014 |
INT
0 - 0
RIV
30%
25%
45%
|
44 | 34 | 10 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2014 |
RIV
0 - 0
MOT
45%
25%
30%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Guarany de Sobral
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
GUA
0 - 1
MOT
53%
23%
24%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
INT
2 - 1
GUA
25%
25%
51%
|
48 | 34 | 14 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
GUA
2 - 4
REM
45%
25%
29%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2014 |
REM
0 - 1
GUA
56%
23%
21%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2014 |
GUA
2 - 1
INT
71%
18%
11%
|
48 | 34 | 14 | 0 |