Copa do Brasil 1/64
Global 3-3
Ríver vs Goiás EC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
8.8%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.6%
1-0
4%
2-1
2.3%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
<0%
+1
6.8%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
18.1%
73.1%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
0-1
14.7%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
25.2%
0-2
15.4%
1-3
6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.4%
0-3
10.7%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
14.3%
0-4
5.6%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
7.1%
0-5
2.3%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0%
-5
2.8%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ríver
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
RIV
4 - 0
PIC
56%
25%
20%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2016 |
PAR
2 - 1
RIV
33%
28%
39%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2016 |
PIC
1 - 1
RIV
29%
28%
43%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2016 |
RIV
1 - 2
FOR
13%
21%
66%
|
46 | 66 | 20 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
RIV
2 - 0
PIC
55%
25%
21%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Goiás EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
GOI
2 - 0
ITU
72%
20%
8%
|
75 | 51 | 24 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2016 |
GOI
1 - 0
CRA
74%
19%
8%
|
75 | 49 | 26 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
ANA
1 - 3
GOI
13%
21%
66%
|
75 | 52 | 23 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
ATL
1 - 0
GOI
22%
25%
53%
|
75 | 62 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
GOI
1 - 0
GOI
77%
17%
6%
|
75 | 43 | 32 | 0 |