Ríver vs Bahía analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.2%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.9%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
2.6%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
<0%
+1
7.8%
20%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
20%
69.8%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
0-1
15.6%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
26.2%
0-2
15.2%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.7%
0-3
9.8%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
12.9%
0-4
4.7%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.9%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ríver
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2024 |
RIV
0 - 2
ALT
33%
25%
43%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
TRE
1 - 0
RIV
30%
27%
43%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2024 |
PIC
1 - 2
RIV
18%
25%
58%
|
49 | 34 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
4DE
0 - 1
RIV
22%
26%
52%
|
49 | 38 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
ALT
0 - 3
RIV
59%
23%
18%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | +2 |
Matches
Bahía
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2024 |
BAH
5 - 0
ITA
93%
6%
2%
|
86 | 60 | 26 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
BAH
2 - 1
SPO
56%
23%
21%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2024 |
BAH
2 - 0
BAR
95%
5%
1%
|
86 | 42 | 44 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
BAH
0 - 2
BAH
10%
21%
70%
|
85 | 57 | 28 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 2024 |
BAH
5 - 0
JEC
85%
11%
4%
|
85 | 41 | 44 | 0 |