Ríver vs Ceará analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
8.4%
Win probability
0.5
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
<0%
+2
1.4%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
2.1%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
6.7%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
19.1%
72.6%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
0-1
16.6%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.3%
0-2
16.4%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0%
-2
22.5%
0-3
10.8%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
13.7%
0-4
5.3%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
6.5%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ríver
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Feb. 2020 |
RIV
0 - 0
FLA
73%
17%
10%
|
44 | 24 | 20 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2020 |
RIV
1 - 1
ARN
28%
26%
46%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
IMP
1 - 0
RIV
64%
22%
14%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2020 |
RIV
1 - 2
4DE
59%
22%
19%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
CON
2 - 0
RIV
65%
21%
14%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Ceará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Feb. 2020 |
CEA
0 - 0
GUA
81%
14%
5%
|
73 | 46 | 27 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2020 |
CEA
2 - 2
BOT
61%
23%
16%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
CEA
1 - 0
CAU
87%
11%
3%
|
73 | 30 | 43 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2020 |
OES
1 - 1
CEA
22%
26%
52%
|
73 | 58 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2020 |
CEA
2 - 2
BAH
40%
28%
32%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |