Ríver vs Caiçara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.8%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.7%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
15%
2-0
15.5%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
17.2%
8.1%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ríver
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2015 |
RIV
1 - 1
PIA
67%
21%
13%
|
48 | 34 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
RIV
0 - 1
FLA
65%
21%
14%
|
49 | 38 | 11 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
PAR
0 - 0
RIV
27%
27%
46%
|
49 | 38 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2015 |
RIV
2 - 0
4DE
63%
21%
15%
|
49 | 36 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2015 |
CAI
0 - 2
RIV
18%
23%
59%
|
49 | 22 | 27 | 0 |
Matches
Caiçara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2015 |
FLA
0 - 1
CAI
73%
17%
10%
|
23 | 39 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
CAI
1 - 1
PAR
20%
21%
58%
|
22 | 39 | 17 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
4DE
0 - 1
CAI
66%
20%
14%
|
21 | 36 | 15 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2015 |
CAI
1 - 1
PIA
23%
23%
53%
|
20 | 37 | 17 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2015 |
CAI
0 - 2
RIV
18%
23%
59%
|
22 | 49 | 27 | -2 |