Ríver vs Caiçara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.3%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.1%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.1%
3-0
12.1%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.4%
2-0
15.5%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
15.1%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
7%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
15.1%
6.6%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.2%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ríver
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2015 |
CEA
1 - 0
RIV
83%
12%
5%
|
46 | 68 | 22 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2015 |
FOR
2 - 0
RIV
75%
16%
8%
|
47 | 63 | 16 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2015 |
RIV
2 - 2
FOR
16%
23%
60%
|
46 | 64 | 18 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2015 |
RIV
1 - 1
CEA
12%
20%
69%
|
46 | 69 | 23 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2015 |
BOT
1 - 2
RIV
68%
19%
13%
|
45 | 56 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Caiçara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
PAR
4 - 0
CAI
72%
18%
11%
|
19 | 42 | 23 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2014 |
FLA
2 - 0
CAI
75%
16%
9%
|
20 | 38 | 18 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
CAI
0 - 4
4DE
23%
21%
56%
|
21 | 37 | 16 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
COR
1 - 0
CAI
61%
21%
19%
|
21 | 31 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2014 |
CAI
1 - 1
BAR
23%
22%
55%
|
20 | 39 | 19 | +1 |