Série D Brazil Final
Global 2-3
Ríver vs Botafogo SP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.6%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.1%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.9%
28.5%
Draw
0-0
10.9%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.5%
43.9%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
13.9%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
24%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ríver
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
BOT
3 - 2
RIV
65%
21%
14%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
YPI
2 - 0
RIV
45%
27%
29%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | -2 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
RIV
2 - 0
YPI
37%
27%
36%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2015 |
LAJ
1 - 1
RIV
51%
25%
24%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2015 |
RIV
3 - 0
LAJ
29%
27%
44%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | +2 |
Matches
Botafogo SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
BOT
3 - 2
RIV
65%
21%
14%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
REM
0 - 0
BOT
47%
26%
28%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
BOT
1 - 0
REM
50%
25%
25%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
SAO
0 - 0
BOT
43%
27%
30%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2015 |
BOT
2 - 1
SAO
50%
25%
25%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | -1 |