Ríver vs Barras analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.1%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
21.4%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ríver
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2014 |
PIA
3 - 3
RIV
41%
25%
34%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
RIV
1 - 1
COR
68%
19%
13%
|
44 | 34 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
FLA
0 - 0
RIV
47%
25%
29%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2014 |
RIV
4 - 1
4DE
50%
24%
26%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
CAI
0 - 7
RIV
20%
22%
58%
|
43 | 19 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Barras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2014 |
COR
2 - 1
BAR
34%
24%
42%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
BAR
2 - 0
PIA
45%
27%
29%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
PAR
1 - 1
BAR
48%
25%
27%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
BAR
1 - 0
CAI
71%
18%
11%
|
39 | 18 | 21 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
FLA
2 - 2
BAR
59%
22%
19%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | 0 |