Piauiense Final Semi-finals
Global 2-3
Ríver vs Altos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.5%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
33.5%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-36%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ríver
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2016 |
RIV
0 - 1
BOT
28%
26%
45%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2016 |
PAR
0 - 1
RIV
38%
28%
34%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2016 |
RIV
0 - 0
PAR
47%
26%
28%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
RIV
3 - 0
PIA
63%
23%
14%
|
48 | 37 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2016 |
GOI
2 - 1
RIV
75%
19%
7%
|
48 | 76 | 28 | 0 |
Matches
Altos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2016 |
ALT
4 - 2
PIA
68%
20%
12%
|
48 | 35 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2016 |
PIA
1 - 3
ALT
29%
24%
47%
|
47 | 37 | 10 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
COR
0 - 5
ALT
17%
22%
61%
|
46 | 28 | 18 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2016 |
RIV
1 - 1
ALT
46%
25%
29%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2016 |
ALT
1 - 0
PIA
61%
22%
17%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | 0 |