Ríver vs 4 de Julho analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.4%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
19.1%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ríver
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
FPI
0 - 3
RIV
11%
18%
71%
|
44 | 6 | 38 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
RIV
2 - 0
COR
65%
19%
16%
|
43 | 33 | 10 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 2023 |
CAC
0 - 4
RIV
57%
22%
21%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | +2 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
RIV
2 - 2
FPI
25%
21%
54%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
PAR
2 - 2
RIV
47%
27%
26%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
4 de Julho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
4DE
0 - 0
PAR
34%
26%
41%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
4DE
1 - 3
FPI
19%
20%
61%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | -2 |
| 01 Feb. 2023 |
FPI
0 - 3
4DE
10%
17%
73%
|
41 | 6 | 35 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
4DE
0 - 0
ALT
15%
21%
65%
|
40 | 52 | 12 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
4DE
0 - 0
COR
63%
20%
17%
|
41 | 24 | 17 | -1 |